Analysis Archive

The Fed Shows Its Split

January FOMC minutes shifted tone on “how long” rates may stay restrictive, while also surfacing a live debate about AI and the economy.

Oil Jumps on War Worries

A fast, two-day rally shows how “risk re-pricing” can widen spreads and lift prices before trading finds a new range.

Big Names, Bigger Pivots

McDonald’s leaned into “value” as results beat expectations, while Kraft Heinz paused a planned breakup and reset priorities. This explains why prices can move on story changes, not just the quarter’s numbers.

Home Sales Hit a Wall

January 2026 resale activity dropped sharply; this explains how a “seller–buyer standoff” can freeze volume before prices visibly move.

Strong Jobs, New Doubts

After the January jobs report, markets rewrote rate expectations fast. Here’s how that can happen through liquidity and execution.

Key Data Goes Missing

Early Feb 2026: A delayed January jobs report left markets without their usual “anchor” number—this explains why smaller headlines can move prices more.

Bitcoin Loses Its Footing

A fast slide can happen when confidence breaks while bids thin and forced selling piles on.

AI Buzz, Big Selloff

Early February 2026: A ~$300B wipeout in software/data stocks, and what that kind of drop can look like through liquidity and execution.

The Dollar Keeps Sliding

When a major currency drops for days, the move can feed on itself as portfolios get re-marked and risk gets trimmed at the same time.

Private Credit Meets the Door

Stress shows up when easy exits meet hard-to-sell loans, because that liquidity mismatch can force price marks, while job cuts and rising interest in gold can also fit a wider push to protect cash flow and hedges.

Amazon’s Biggest Cut

Amazon confirmed about 16,000 corporate role cuts and the stock fell the same day, showing how a layoff headline can move price fast when many orders hit at once and near-term liquidity is thinner.

Oil Spikes on a Scare

Why crude can jump on one headline, then fade once sellers and liquidity show up.

New Worries for Big Tech

Even without new earnings, prices can move when the story changes, and if rules and pricing get questioned, trading can turn jumpy and moves can look bigger than the news.

Tariffs Back Off, Stocks Jump

When a tariff scare fades, the gap between buy and sell prices can shrink fast, which lets delayed buy orders fill, so the bounce can look sudden and broad.

Treasury’s Quiet Redesign

Treasury surfaced “plumbing” ideas that can change which bonds trade easiest and how they get financed in repo: the 7-year schedule, floating-rate issuance, and buyback mechanics.

Musk’s $134B AI Claim

A $79B–$134B damages figure and an April trial window put “legal uncertainty” into the AI complex, and markets can price that before any decision.